由于比特币 (BTC) 今年早些时候达到历史新高,交易者一直在想比特币能走多远. 在这种情况下,一个比特币交易员透露了他对领先的加密货币的退出策略,这涉及向零售投资者出售.
The trader’s account goes by the alias 狼 (,我知道你是个.) on X and has recently shown skepticism over Bitcoin price predictions. In particular, 狼 has criticized 计划B‘s 0,000 per BTC forecast, which has been massively reproduced by influencers.
According to the trader, retail investors will “FOMO” into Bitcoin as the price surpasses 0,000, following higher expectations (0,000). Notably, this is when 狼 says he will start selling, using retail traders as exit liquidity to book profits.
He deemed the 0,000 price target based on a “broken model,” referring to the “Stock to Flow model.” Interestingly, this model has failed multiple times in Bitcoin history, misleading traders to unreachable targets every cycle. For example, 计划B had predicted BTC to reach 0,000 and then 0,000 in 2021 following his model, which never happened.
This is definitely not the time to take profits but to plan your exit 战略. We'll start selling our holdings to retail investors once Bitcoin is north of 0k. Driven by FOMO and relying on broken models predicting 0k+, they will 提供 our exit 流动性.
— Wolf (@IamCryptoWolf) May 26, 2024As of this writing, 狼‘s post had more than 460 likes and over 33,000 views, likely reaching what the market understands for retail traders. This raises the question of whether other Bitcoin whales could make this trader’s target their own exit strategy, following a similar logic.
奇怪的是,大愚蠢理论表明,如果有足够的瓜来购买资产,资产价格可能会上升.这些买家认为他们可以以更高的价格卖给一个大愚蠢的资产.
The theory perfectly illustrates the dynamics at play in the context of the Bitcoin trader’s exit strategy. 狼 bought BTC at lower prices, planning to sell the cryptocurrency to retail investors when the price surpasses 0,000. These retail investors, relying on the “broken” Stock to Flow model predicting 0,000 BTC, would become the “greater fools.”
尽管如此,玩这个游戏的投机者总是冒着自己成为最大的瓜的风险.
它们为早期比特币交易者提供出口流动性,以预订利,相信他们可以以后卖得更高.该理论强调了解市场动态的重要性和遵循第三方价格预测的风险.最终,大愚蠢理论是零售投资者不成为最后持有袋子的警告故事.
据报道,比特币在67,770美元的价格上交易,
据悉,比特币在今年1月份的42,284美元中获得了50%的收益.
BTC/USD daily price chart. Source: 交易视图 / FinboldBitcoin 交易员s building their exit strategies must consider the possibility that their bullish expectations could be part of somebody else’s exit 战略 and act accordingly with proper risk management and caution.
免责声明:投资是投机性的.投资时,您的资本是处于风险之中.
流动性 提供 战略 交易员 Source: 其他信息 分享. 互联网 推特 爱情 链接 布勒 电子邮件 Previous Article 霍里森和Pyth网络合作,加强了以为中心的神话服务 Next Article 智能交易的好处和赠品
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